Assessing Nigeria’s Power Sector Progress Amid Recurring Grid Flops…Grid Collapses 105 Times in 10 Years Despite $1.4bn Loans

By Patience Chat Moses
For over a decade, Nigeria has grappled with the daunting challenge of frequent power grid collapses, plunging homes, businesses, and industries into darkness. Despite securing $1.4 billion in loans to address this critical infrastructure issue, the situation remains dire. The national grid has collapsed an alarming 105 times in just ten years, with devastating consequences for the nation’s economy, security, and quality of life.
The scope of the problem is staggering. Nigeria’s power grid is designed to connect electricity generation from various power stations to distribution networks across the country. However, the grid’s collapses have been alarmingly frequent, with 93 recorded during President Muhammadu Buhari’s eight-year rule and 12 since President Bola Tinubu took office. Notably, each collapse typically lasts several hours or even days, depending on the extent of damage and restoration time.
One of the primary causes of these collapses is the country’s ageing infrastructure. Nigeria’s power grid infrastructure is outdated, with most components dating back to the 1960s and 1970s. Furthermore, the transmission segment is severely underdeveloped, unable to handle the load from generation plants. Consequently, this has led to inadequate generation capacity, with Nigeria having a theoretical generation capacity of 12,000 megawatts but only 4,000 megawatts reliably generated.
Moreover, poor regulatory oversight has exacerbated the issue. The power sector lacks effective management, accountability, and regulatory enforcement. Additionally, vandalism and sabotage have destabilised the grid, with criminal elements targeting transmission lines, substations, and gas pipelines.
Despite securing $1.4 billion in loans from international financial institutions, the impact on the power grid has been underwhelming. Several high-profile projects have stalled due to bureaucratic delays, corruption, or inadequate execution. Nevertheless, experts argue that the lack of a comprehensive overhaul of the transmission network remains a key issue.
The economic and social consequences of these grid collapses have been devastating. The manufacturing sector operates below capacity due to reliance on expensive generators, while small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) struggle to afford consistent power. Moreover, unreliable power has stunted growth in sectors like tech startups, telecommunications, and healthcare.
In addition, hospitals rely on generators, risking patients’ lives during critical surgeries. Frequent blackouts disrupt daily life, affecting students’ ability to study and reducing overall quality of life. Ultimately, this has led to investors leaving the country due to unstable and inadequate power supply.
However, there is still hope for the power sector. Experts advocate for a holistic approach to addressing the issues plaguing the grid. This includes massive infrastructure investments to modernise grid infrastructure, privatisation of the transmission sector or public-private partnerships, diversification of energy sources, strengthening regulatory oversight, and community engagement and security to combat vandalism.
Nigeria’s recurring power grid collapses underscore the urgent need for a comprehensive overhaul of the power sector. Despite investing $1.4 billion in loans, the country’s electricity infrastructure remains woefully inadequate, stifling economic growth and imperilling national development.
To break this cycle of failure, Nigeria must adopt a multifaceted approach. Firstly, the government should prioritise investments in modernising the transmission network, increasing generation capacity, and promoting renewable energy sources. Secondly, privatisation or public-private partnerships in the transmission sector could inject much-needed efficiency and expertise.
Moreover, strengthening regulatory oversight and enforcing accountability measures can help combat corruption and inefficiency. Community engagement and security measures can also mitigate vandalism and sabotage.
Crucially, Nigeria must address the structural flaws in its power sector, including inadequate pricing mechanisms, inefficient distribution networks, and lack of competition. Implementing policies like cost-reflective tariffs, metering initiatives, and open-access transmission can help create a more sustainable and competitive market.
Ultimately, resolving Nigeria’s power crisis requires a long-term commitment to systemic reforms, infrastructure upgrades, and institutional strengthening. By adopting a strategic and evidence-based approach, Nigeria can harness its vast energy potential, unlock economic growth, and provide reliable electricity for its citizens.

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